Another scrappy week of NFL football. How did The Model do? How did our bets do? We won just 1 of our 5 bets last week. Our faith in Bo Nix and the Broncos to win as underdogs recouped about $286. The Lions, Colts, and Green Bay losses, while good for the Bears, was bad (more…)
I’m going to do something different this week and maybe going forward. I’m going to share our exact bets up front for all readers, above the fold, for free. In the current social environment, picks are a dime a dozen and available everywhere.
Paying members still get Jeremy’s full insights and the numerical results from The Model below the fold.
This is an interesting week. 3 3-way parlays. A couple have an underdog in them. A couple have huge favorites that probably don’t add much to the payout. I’m not sure this the most risk averse way to make bets on our research, but it feels good and is fun.
Jeremy was feeling moneyline for most of his picks. The only 2 straight up games we bet were the Broncos and Cincinnati, where both Jeremy and The Model were taking the underdogs.
In total, we are betting $750 to win ~$1971, and another $10 bet to win an additional $268.
These are my personal bets and opinions, not betting advice. Wager at your own risk and within your means.
Good luck everyone!
Sign up for a membership to read below for our full analysis and why we made these bets.
Lamar Jackson is back, and the Baltimore Ravens are traveling down to sunny Miami to play the Dolphins. What is going to happen tonight? Jeremy Says The Model Says What do we bet? My app doesn’t let me bet for “total TDs”, it’s passing or “anytime TDs” (rushing or receiving). So we’d have to make (more…)
I had a fun weekend trip in Oklahoma City, which delayed my posting here and also kept me from placing bets. What’s with that, Oklahoma! I know we’re all addicted to sports betting, it’s incentivizing fraud at the highest levels, and is ruining our kids in many ways, including keeping them from having sex and lowering the birthrate. On the other hand, it’s a lot of fun.
So how did we do last week?
I’ve been traveling and failed to get the picks out before the game started. I apologize to our loyal subscribers who were looking forward to that.
I’ll post The Model picks and summary of Jeremy’s notes from our stream here, but we won’t be making any specific bets this week.
The Vikings face off against the Los Angeles chargers tonight. Let’s see how Jeremy and the model are viewing this game. The Model likes the Vikings to win by 1.5. Jeremy would pick the Chargers to win, but thinks it will be a close game, and so would take the Vikings with the 3 points. (more…)
Wow. The favorites start winning again, and covering in 2/3 of matchups. The Model has a disastrous week, but somehow Jeremy and I end up even on our bets.
Full results and details below.
I’m posting this late to give Jeremy time to process injury reports.
Thursday’s game was exciting, but the Steelers lost, busting the 3-way “primetime” parlay I setup for Thursday’s bet.
Let’s see if we can make some money on the other games today and tomorrow.
Side note: I’m changing this post to “Our Picks” since these posts try to synthesize Jeremy’s notes and The Model’s results into one set of bets. I’ll still share Jeremy’s thoughts separately and The Model’s results separately, so you can make your own decisions.
Also: Subscribe over at YouTube to catch our live streams. We’re keeping them to around 30 minutes, and they are the fastest way for you to get access to our thoughts and picks… for free. Subscribe here for just $5 to get the full details.
Every Thursday we will post our analysis, The Model’s picks, and our bets (if any) on the Thursday night game. This is meant to be a little bit of a taste of our full analysis and picks for the week.
This week the Pittsburgh Steelers travel west to face the Cincinnati Bengals.
Let’s see what Jeremy and The Model have to say.
Editor’s Note: We have decided to make this Thursday picks public for everyone. Future picks will require a Free membership or Model Picks membership, which is just $5 for the entire season.
Some exciting games last week. Things are still a little choppy, with 1/3 of underdogs winning. But that’s nothing compared to the past few weeks. Let’s see how we did. How did The Model do? Here are the Model Picks with the actual results. The Model only picked the winner 60% of the time, and (more…)