Take insights from our NFL picks and analysis to sharpen your own betting strategy and find value every week.
New season, new Model. Here are our bets, some notes on what changed, and The Model picks for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season. One housekeeping note before the picks: everything on this site is free now. No membership required, no paywall, no teasers. If you were paying for Model Picks, thank you, and (more…)
Jeremy is betting on quarterbacks this week. He likes the Patriots and Rams to win moneyline. Here are The Model’s picks for the week and then every combo that could happen in the Super Bowl. The Super Bowl games are run with each team as the home team. So you can perhaps average the two (more…)
The Model did well last week, picking the winner in every game except the Bears game. It won on both of its underdog picks. It won just 50% vs the spread, but if it’s performance in the wildcard week are any indication, it might be good to go with The Model on some moneyline bets. (more…)
I’m not sure what we will bet. Probably a lot of crazy player props and long shots. But if you’re curious about what The Model is thinking, here are its picks and over/under bets for the week.
Getting ready for the playoffs. Let’s see how we did last week. I mean to start off, we have no right betting the last week of the NFL. Things are so crazy. Teams are sitting players, trying to lose for draft spots, or playing vanilla football to avoid getting their team “on tape” before the (more…)
We missed week 17. Things were crazy with the holidays. If we do this more consistently, we will have to plan for that.
I’m posting this pretty late, but here are our bets, thoughts, and The Model picks for week 18 in the NFL.
That’s $475 bet to win about $1240.
These are my personal bets and opinions, not betting advice. Wager at your own risk and within your means.
Good luck everyone!
Members can read Jeremy’s thoughts and The Model picks below here.
We’ve been busy with the holidays and losing steam posting here, but I wanted to get the results from week 16 posted for posterity and anyone else who is following that closely. We made a couple random bets, but didn’t plan them out per usual. We were up very slightly. Here are the results from (more…)
Jeremy and I both are getting a little burned out running the numbers every week and betting on Football here. Maybe it would be different if we were winning a bunch, but for some reason it just doesn’t feel as fun as it has in years past. I definitely think the edge we used to (more…)
Quick update here with some picks for the games today. Jeremy says: Give me the Eagles -7I’ll take the Bears on the money line with Parsons being out Caleb Williams should have plenty of time to throw the ball Plus, the game is in Chicago And… Another option may be the under on the Bears (more…)
The Rams travel to Seattle to face off vs the Seahawks. Both teams are 11 and 3 coming into this game. Who will win? What does Jeremy think? What does the Model Think? What are we betting?
Find out below.
Editor’s Note: We have decided to make this Thursday picks public for everyone. Future picks will require a Free membership or Model Picks membership, which is just $5 for the entire season.