Week 15 Picks
Sorry for the delay on this post.
Our Bets
- $100 on Lions +6 to win.
- $50 on Colts +14 to win.
- $50 on 5-way parlay to win: HOU, CHI, KC, BUF, PHI
Betting $200 to win a potential ~$500.
These are my personal bets and opinions, not betting advice. Wager at your own risk and within your means.
Good luck everyone!
Jeremy’s Thoughts
(FWIW, I am no longer passing these through ChatGPT to format. Jeremy is doing a good job formatting them himself and making clearer recommendations.)
Browns @ Bears: Chicago ML. Browns still have a good defense so I don’t know how I feel about more than a TD. With that said, the Titans did run the ball well so maybe the Bears learned from that. Sanders hype takes a step back as the Bears force 3 turnovers in this one.
Ravens @ Cincy: Bengals +2.5. Look, everyone is just expecting LJ to hit this switch and become an MVP. Also, the Ravens D is getting torched through the air. The Bengals looked really good in their W vs Ravens in BMore. I expect Burrow to throw for another 300+ and 2-3 TDs.
Chargers @ Chiefs: Chiefs ML or Chargers +5.5. I know KC is at home but they were home vs the Texans and their offense did not look good. Chargers defense is formidable and right now their offense looks better than KC. This could be the knock out blow to KC and LAC knows that, I’m sure Harbaugh would like to be the one to do it.
Bills @ Patriots: Bills ML. This is a revenge game and the division is over if the Bills don’t win. Patriots 10 game win streak comes to an end in a close one 27-23 Bills. Allen tries to push himself past Maye and behind Stafford in MVP on this one with everyone watching.
Commanders @ Giants. Giants ML. Both these teams are banged up and trash right now. I like Dart and Robinson to have a big game. Singletary looked good last week and no one for Wash looked good in their shut out loss.
Raiders @ Eagles. Eagles -12.5. Now, any other team and I’m taking the points. But Pickett is starting at QB in Philly and the Eagles know what he can and can’t do being he played for them. The only way Philly doesn’t cover is if Hurts has 4 TOs again and no way that can happen, right?
Jets @ Jags. Don’t waste your time with this. Jags could cover but I don’t like -14. ML won’t pay anything.
Cardinals @ Texans. Texans -10.5. Texans defense will have 7 sacks today. I expect the offense to look better than they did on a cold night in KC.
Packers @ Broncos. Broncos +1.5. Jordan Love is due for a game when he makes everyone say “see he is not elite yet”. What better time than vs the second best defense and arguably the best pass rush in NFL history as the Broncos threaten the season record for sacks. Nix and Peyton are mobile enough to try and avoid Parsons.
Lions @ Rams. Rams ML or Det +6. Hard not to take a Lions offense when they are getting almost a full tuddy. However not team looks better overall than the Rams of late even with that hiccup vs Panthers. Expect a higher scoring game coming down to the last possession. Shades of Rams vs KC with Goff lol.
Panthers @ Saints. Carolina -2.5. Could be a trap game, but with the Buccs losing the Panthers can take 1st place in the division. That should be motivation enough.
Titans @ Niners. Niners -12.5 is a lot and SF is gonna win. Just a pretty big spread man. Niners ML is worthless unless packaged with others.
Colts @ Seahawks. Seahawks -14? This is crazy that 8-5 team is two tuddy underdog. But they are walking Philip Rivers out vs that Seattle D. I’m tempted to take Colts with the points lol. But just leaving this alone.
Vikings @ Cowboys. Cowboys ML. JJ goes back to JJ in this game. Dallas offense should be able to put up 20+ vs Vikings. Have a feeling Cowboys might win on the leg of Aubrey again so not cover the -5.5.
Miami @ Steelers. Steelers -3. Pittsburgh has a chance to build a two game lead if they see the Ravens fall to Cincy. That will be motivation for the team even without TJ. Miami is like 1-20 in temps under 40 degrees. Tomlin will try to mess this up but Rogers won’t let him just like he didn’t vs the Ravens.
The Model’s Picks
Here are The Model Picks for this week of the 2025 NFL season. (Click here to learn more about how to read these picks.)
A lot of italics there, which is how I indicate the games where Jeremy and The Model differ in their moneyline picks. The Model is in love with the Vikings, Dolphins, and Commanders… doesn’t understand the injury or season dynamics. I’m not sure why it likes the Saints here so much. Jeremy did say it could be a trap game. Our bets will focus on where The Model and Jermey agree. We can see who does better on the games in contentions when we review things next Tuesday.
Here are The Model’s over/under picks.
I posted our picks at the start of this post. Scroll to the top for them. Good luck.