Week 18 Model Picks

We missed week 17. Things were crazy with the holidays. If we do this more consistently, we will have to plan for that.

I’m posting this pretty late, but here are our bets, thoughts, and The Model picks for week 18 in the NFL.

Our Bets

• $100 on Chargers +13.5. Pays $186.
• $100 on Falcons to win and cover -3.5. Pays $192.
• $100 on Buccaneers to win and cover -3. Pays $198.
• $100 on 2 teams to win moneyline: DAL, PHL. Pays $224.
• $50 on 6 teams to win moneyline: HOU, LAR, TB, DAL, ATL, PHI. Pays $403.
• And $25 on Ravens to win moneyline. Pays $37.50.

That’s $475 bet to win about $1240.

These are my personal bets and opinions, not betting advice. Wager at your own risk and within your means.

Good luck everyone!

Members can read Jeremy’s thoughts and The Model picks below here.

Jeremy’s Analysis

Pretty short, but here is what Jeremy texted me this morning:

Ravens ML haha remember what I said [Jason: He said bet Ravens so they lose and Pittsburgh wins.]
Buccs ML have faith in baker
Niners +1.5
Texans -10.5
Dallas ML
Bengals ML
ATL -3.5
MN – ML don’t like this game. GB may sit players as their seeding can’t change
Jaguars – spread is too high, depending on Texans game Jax could pull starters late
Rams ML – win and Niners lose affects seeding
LAC +13.5 if they win and Texans lose they move up want to stay ahead of Buffalo with W – have tiebreaker
Raiders ML why not lol
Patriots -11.5. Again Patriots staff will be watching score of Denver
Eagles -4.5

The Model Picks

Here are The Model Picks for this week of the 2025 NFL season. (Click here to learn more about how to read these picks.)

And here are the over/under picks.

Remember, the best way to use this info is as just another input into your betting strategy. The Model doesn’t know who is injured or which teams are benching starters, it is not omniscient. Do your own research. Use your judgement.

If you’re looking for the bets down here, scroll up. I posted them at the top of this article.

Good luck. I will likely publish something at the beginning of the playoffs that goes through all the different possibilities.