Thursday Night Football: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Here is what Jermey sent me for the game tonight:
I like the Bills tonight. Looks like they are hitting on some good cylinders right now.
I don’t think Houston has an explosive enough offense to take advantage of an average defense for the Bill.
I expect Bosa and those boys for the Bills to get home.
I like the Bills by a touchdown tonight.
As far as for the over, I could see that because I see the Bills winning like 27 to 20 or even 30 to 17.
What does The Model think and what kind of bet can we figure out for tonight’s game?
Editor’s Note: We have decided to make this Thursday picks public for everyone. Future picks will require a Free membership or Model Picks membership, which is just $5 for the entire season.
The Model’s Picks
The Model sees the game similar to Vegas tonight. The Model has the Bills winning by 4, whereas the spread is 5.5. So perhaps Texans with the points could be a bet at home… but Jeremy likes the Bills to cover.
The Model has the over under at 44.5, exactly where the line is. Jeremy likes the over. Can’t really bet that.
I decided to bet $150 on the Bills to win moneyline. This pays $206.50. A lot wagered to make a little bit, but should be a safe bet. A prediction market (not money or crypto, just lots of folks predicting) has the Bills 71% to win… which makes this a slightly bad bet.
We’re betting on the Bills to win. If they lose tonight, they might as well drop out of the Super Bowl race.
These are my personal bets and opinions, not betting advice. Wager at your own risk and within your means.
Good luck everyone!