Model Picks Week 6 Results
Some exciting games last week. Things are still a little choppy, with 1/3 of underdogs winning. But that’s nothing compared to the past few weeks. Let’s see how we did.
How did The Model do?
Here are the Model Picks with the actual results.
The Model only picked the winner 60% of the time, and won vs the spread just 47% of the time. The Model tends to pick winners a bit worse than the Vegas odds, but usually makes it up on it’s picks vs the spread.
Three weeks of sub 50% performance is not good or normal for The Model. I see some things around turnover differential that might be poisoning the data a bit, but honestly I think we’re just seeing some good entertaining back-and-forth football that makes betting tough.
Or maybe we are suckers…
How did we do on our bets?
Jeremy and I aren’t doing much better together. We won 2 of our 3 way parlay bets, but lost all of our straight bets. We won just $464 on our $670 in bets, a loss of about 2 units. We’re down about 7 units on the year.
But the Bears won, hey! Emotional hedge for the win.