Model Picks Week 4 Results
I’m posting a little late this week. I like to think it’s because I was busy and not because we got absolutely gobsmacked. This was our first losing week this year, and it was a big one, setting us back quite a bit.
It was a choppy week in the NFL, with underdogs winning nearly half of the games.
Read on to see exactly how we did.
How Did The Model Do?
Terrible. This was the worst week I could remember. I feel like even when things are bad, The Model hangs in there and goes at least 40% vs the spread. Week 4, The Model picked the winner just 38% of the time and won vs the spread a shockingly low 19% of the time.
It was a crazy weekend of football, with the odds line underdog winning 44% of the time. With so many underdogs winning, it’s crazy that NONE of the 3 underdogs The Model picked won. Womp womp.
How Did We Do On Our Picks?
This was our first week of losses. Let’s add it up.
Excluding our Thursday bet, we bet $700 on our picks and another $30 on long shots. We won just 2 bets: the smallest of the 3 way parlays for $166 and $190 for our one unit bet on the Lions to cover. That’s just $356… so we lost $344, which puts us back around even on the season.
We’re a little frazzled, week 5 picks are coming. I’m double checking everything to make sure The Model is running properly. There are a few strange picks for this upcoming week. I’m about to stream with Jeremy to go over it. You can subscribe to my personal YouTube where we stream these here.